Wednesday October 29, 6:28 PM
By Shen Hong
A Dow Jones Newswires Column
SINGAPORE (Dow Jones)--PT Indonesia Satellite Corp.'s well-received $300 million global bond sale marks a turning point in investor sentiment for depressed Indonesian assets, but individual credit strength will remain a big factor for future corporate debt issuance from the country.
Indosat's quasi-sovereign nature and the business it is in, telecommunications, were two features which shifted investor demand in its favor, analysts said. Timing too was a big plus. It is the first major international bond deal out of the country since an upgrade of the sovereign ratings earlier this month.
Indeed, said a banker involved in the deal, "It's the first genuine global deal from Indonesia since 1997 and therefore is a test case for investors from the U.S. and Europe. It serves as a benchmark for the sector."
Indonesia's second largest telco, Indosat priced its seven-year bond at par on a 7.75% coupon late Tuesday, tighter than the originally targeted 7.75%-8.25% range. The revision in price followed heavy subscription for its original $200 million offer. The deal was increased to $300 million at the last minute.
The ease with which Indosat sold the bond contrasts with the efforts of two other fellow Indonesian borrowers in September.
Coming to market just after a deadly bomb attack in Jakarta in August, miner PT Aneka Tambang and gas utility PT Perusahaan Gas Negara struggled to draw investors. Demand for Antam's $200 million bond was poor but it managed to raise the amount it sought. But for PGN, demand was so poor for its maiden global issue it had to cut the deal to $150 million from the originally planned $200 million.
Reflecting how the mood has changed over Indonesian assets, Indosat's bond deal drew a large proportion of investors outside of Asia. Previous corporate dollar bonds went largely to local investors.
Non-Asian Investors Took Half The Issue
According to people familiar with the deal, European investors took up around 35% of the bond, while those from the U.S. composed 15% of the total. The rest were scattered across Asia, they said.
Investors who didn't manage to get a share of the issue swarmed into the secondary market Wednesday, pushing the bond to trade as high as 101.13 at its debut.
Propelling demand has been the persistent search for yield among institutional investors and Indonesia's sovereign upgrade earlier this month.
"The search for yield is still a general theme right now, so any kind of ratings upgrade will benefit such transactions," said a credit analyst with a U.S. bank in Singapore.
Earlier this month, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services raised Indonesia's foreign-currency rating to B with a stable outlook, up from B-, commending it for improved fiscal conditions, stronger external liquidity and growing economic stability.
"On the macro level, everybody is now expecting a decent recovery in the U.S. and faster growth in Asia, so the risk appetite is pretty high. So the overall environment for high-yield bonds is more conducive," said a credit analyst with another U.S. bank in Hong Kong.
"But when you need to add high-yield risks into your portfolio, there are only two risks here in Asia: Indonesia and the Philippines. And I would say that Indonesia is a good risk, while the Philippines is a bad one," said the Hong Kong-based analyst.
Moody's Investors Service has assigned a (P)B2 rating with a stable outlook on Indosat's bond, while S&P rated the debt B+, also with a stable outlook.
Indonesia's improving outlook may continue to underpin future debt offerings from the country, but analysts were quick to caution against undue optimism over the country's credits because of Indosat's certain unique characteristics.
3-4 More Indonesian Corp Bonds In Pipeline
Another three or four new bond offerings from Indonesian companies are in the debt pipeline, aimed at a year-end target, said a fund manager at a European bank in Singapore.
"People like Indosat not only because it's a good credit but also because it has a quasi-sovereign nature," said the fund manager, adding the Singapore government's significant presence in the company also boosted confidence among investors.
Singapore Technologies Telemedia, a state-owned company, has a 42% stake in Indosat, while the Indonesian government has 15%.
"On a micro level, there are also two main reasons for Indosat's success. One is that it has Telkomsel as a good precedent. If you want Antam or PGN, there's no precedent," said the Hong Kong-based analyst.
PT Telekomunikasi Selular, or Telkomsel, is Indonesia's largest mobile phone company.
"The other reason is that there's nothing better than telecom if you want credit exposure in Indonesia. The sector has universal standards, is not country specific, and is easy to understand for offshore investors. A lot of people didn't understand the businesses of PGN and Antam," he said.
"So going forward, a case-by-case experience may still apply to different corporate credits from Indonesia," he added.
The global bond is part of Indosat's larger refinancing exercise, involving bonds denominated in both U.S. dollars and rupiah, as well as a syndicated rupiah bank loan. Indosat is seeking to raise 2.5 trillion rupiah ($1IDR8,575) through the rupiah-denominated bond offering.
The company will use the proceeds from both bonds to partly refinance its consolidated debt of around US$900 million. Plans to merge its wholly owned cellular units, PT Indosat Mobile Multi Media and PT Satelit Palapa Indonesia, or Satelindo, into the parent company next month will help consolidate the debt of the three companies, making it easier to refinance the borrowing.
Barclays Capital, Goldman Sachs, and ING were co-bookrunners for Indosat's bond.